1961—2012年塔城地区极端温度事件变化特征     

王飞  刘红霞  黄玲  董海英 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2015,9(2):44-51

摘要：选用世界气象组织推荐的极端气候指数方法,对1961—2012年塔城地区6个极端气温指数进行分析,应用百分位法定义极端温度阈值,得出塔城地区极端温度事件变化的基本事实。结果表明：塔城地区近52年来冷昼、冷夜事件和严寒日数分别以3.5 d/10a、9.3 d/10a和4.3 d/10a的速率下降,突变点分别出现在1994、1988和1979年;暖昼、暖夜事件和高温日数分别以3.6 d/10a、8.6 d/10a和0.6 d/10a的速率在上升,突变点分别出现在1989、1990和1973年;极端气温指标多存在25～28 a和5～8 a的振荡周期,在空间分布上,各指标的减少（增加）速率与纬度、地形相关,随纬度增加而多呈现出北部大,中部、南部小的特点。  相似文献   

COMPARISONS OF CIRCULATION ANOMALIES BETWEEN THE DAILY PRECIPITATION EXTREME AND NON-EXTREME EVENTS IN THE MIDDLE AND LOWER REACHES OF YANGTZE RIVER IN BOREAL SUMMER   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

韩洁  管兆勇  李明刚 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2015,21(2):131-142

Based on the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset and in situ meteorological observations of daily precipitation in boreal summer from 1979 to 2008, the features of circulation anomalies have been investigated using the composite analysis for the extreme events and non-extreme events of regional mean daily rainfall(RMDR) occurring over the midand lower- Yangtze valley(MLYV). The extreme RMDR(ERMDR) events are the events at and above the percentile99 in the rearranged time-series of the RMDR with ascending order of rainfall amount. The non-extreme RMDR events are those at the percentiles 90-85 and 80-75 separately. Our results suggest that the threshold value is 25 mm/day for the ERMDR at percentile 99. Precipitation at all the percentiles is found to occur more frequently in the Meiyu rainfall season in MLYV, and the ERMDR events have occurred with higher frequency since the 1990 s. For the percentiles-associated events, the MLYV is under the control of an anomalous cyclonic circulation in the mid- and lower- troposphere with vastly different anomalous circulation at higher levels. However, at both low and high levels, the ERMDR events-related anomalous circulation is stronger compared to that linked to the non-ERMDR events. The dominant sources of water vapor differ between the ERMDR and non-ERMDR events. During the ERMDR events plentiful water vapor is transported from the Bay of Bengal into the MLYV directly by divergence while there is distinctly increased water vapor from the South China Sea(SCS) in non-RMERMDR episodes. The diabatic heating rates < Q1>, < Q2> and< Q1>- < Q2> have their anomalous patterns and are consistent with each other for these percentiles but their strength decreases markedly with the drop of rainfall intensity. For the precipitation at percentiles 99 and 90-85, the sea surface temperature anomalies(SSTA) in the Pacific distribute positively(negatively) in the south(north), and are stronger when the ERMDR emerges, with little or no SSTA as the events at percentile 80-75 occur. Besides, these results suggest that the genesis of the ERMDR event is directly related to intense local circulation anomalies and the circulation anomalies over the Pacific and SCS in tropical to mid-latitudes, and probably linked with the Pacific SSTA closely while the non-ERMDR events are mainly associated with the anomalous circulation on a local basis. The findings here help understand and predict the happening of ERMDR events over the MLYV.  相似文献   

极干旱地区土壤与大气水分的相互影响     

李红寿  汪万福  张国彬  邱飞  詹鸿涛 《西安地质学院学报》2010,(2):183-188

基于建立在莫高窟窟顶的密闭拱棚,通过监测棚内凝结水量和空气温湿度,对极干旱地区典型极干旱气候条件下土壤与大气水分的相互影响进行综合分析。棚内凝结水量和空气温湿度的监测结果表明,在热动力作用下存在地下水分向大气输送的过程,其原因主要是在温度作用下土壤结合水分的分解蒸发与土壤盐分的吸湿吸附的交替作用。这也是形成所谓“土壤凝结水分”与“土壤水分呼吸”的根源。当温度升高时,土壤结合水分分解蒸发“呼出”水分,当温度降低时土壤盐分吸湿吸附,“吸入”大气水分,形成土壤与大气不对称水分交流。称质量实验表明：土壤水分的变化与空气温度的变化完全对应;有深层水分支持的土壤吸收大气水分的能力相对较差。极干旱地区土壤与大气水分的相互影响研究结果能为莫高窟珍贵文物的保护提供参考。  相似文献   

1961—2005年河西走廊东部极端气温事件变化   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李玲萍  薛新玲  李岩瑛  盖晓平  奚立宗 《冰川冻土》2010,32(1):43-51

利用1961—2005年河西走廊东部五站的逐日气温资料,通过百分位法定义了不同台站的逐日极端高、低温阈值,研究了河西走廊东部近45a来极端气温事件变化的空间分布以及时间变化特征.结果表明:在空间分布上,河西走廊东部极端最高气温总阈值民勤出现了暖中心,乌鞘岭出现了冷中心;极端最低气温总阈值暖中心出现在武威,冷中心出现在乌鞘岭;极端最高、低气温空间分布与其对应阈值的空间分布类似;河西走廊东部极端低温频数南北部都呈现减少趋势,而极端高温频数在南部古浪和北部靠近沙漠区的民勤呈现减少趋势,其它地区为增加趋势.时间变化上,河西走廊东部极端最高、低气温总体都呈增温趋势,增温幅度极端最低气温比极端最高气温明显;极端最高气温频数总体呈略增加趋势,极端最低气温频数呈明显的减少趋势;极端最高、低气温和极端最高、低气温频数都是6～7a和9～10a周期反映明显;极端最高、低气温增温以及极端高温频数增加和极端低温频数减少都发生了突变现象.  相似文献   

天山地区夏季极端降水特征及气候变化   总被引：9，自引：5，他引：4  

赵勇  邓学良  李秦  杨青  霍文 《冰川冻土》2010,32(5)

基于1961—2007年天山地区32站的逐日降水资料,分析了夏季天山地区极端降水事件的气候分布和时间变化特征.结果表明:夏季天山地区的极端降水量、极端降水日和极端降水比分布存在明显的区域差异.局地极端降水频繁,平均3～4d就有1次发生,大范围极端降水较少发生.连续性极端降水以1d为主.极端降水量在天山南北坡均随地形增加而增多,地形高度对降水的影响,北坡要大于南坡.在相同高度范围内,北坡极端降水量基本均大于南坡.天山地区的极端降水事件呈增多趋势,在1970年代中后期至1980年代中前期,极端降水事件为低值期,而1990年代是高值期.  相似文献   

气候变化对地表水环境的影响研究与展望   总被引：7，自引：1，他引：6  

郝秀平  夏军  王蕊 《水文》2010,30(1)

全球气候变暖引起水资源量和时空上的分布变化,进一步将影响着地表水环境,改变着河流湖泊的水质和环境情势.大多数关于气候变化对水的影响研究主要集中在气候变化对水量的影响方面,对水环境影响方面的定量研究相对较少.基于目前关于气候变化和水环境国内外现有的研究成果,本文主要讨论了气候变化(温度和极端水文事件)对河道、湖泊等水体水质的带来的可能影响,总结了目前的一些研究和采用的方法主要包括经验统计和模型模拟.在此基础上,提出了气候变化和水环境影响研究方面的展望.  相似文献   

‘We are at the mercy of the floods!’ : Extreme weather events,disrupted mobilities,and everyday navigation in urban Ghana     

Ebenezer F. Amankwaa  Katherine V. Gough 《Singapore journal of tropical geography》2023,44(2):235-254

This paper examines how extreme weather events affect the mobility of low-income urban residents in Ghana. Bringing together scholarship on extreme weather and mobilities, it explores the differential impact of flooding on their everyday lives as they navigate the cities of Accra and Tamale. A range of qualitative methods were drawn on, including semi-structured interviews, focus group discussions, and follow-along-participant observations in selected communities of both cities. Three key themes emerged: disrupted road and transport infrastructure, everyday mobility challenges, and coping/adaptive strategies. In flooding conditions, residents experienced difficulties leaving/returning home, engaging in income-generating activities, and accessing transport services and other key urban infrastructure. Conceptually, the paper reveals how disruption to urban residents’ daily movements and activities (re)produces new forms of mobilities and immobilities, which have three relational elements: postponed, improvised and assisted. Throughout the analysis, we show how these mobilities/immobilities vary by age and gender: all urban residents, (though women in particular), experience postponed mobility; young people especially engage in improvised mobility; and children and the elderly are in greatest need of assisted mobility. The paper thus contributes to scholarship on extreme weather events and mobility by providing a more spatially nuanced understanding of the multi-faceted domains in which flooding, socio-economic conditions and adaptive strategies intersect to influence urban mobility in resource poor settings.  相似文献   

Study on the extremely cold winter of 1670 over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River     

JunHui Yan  MingQi Li  HaoLong Liu  JingYun Zheng  Hui Fu 《寒旱区科学》2014,6(6):0540-0545

The snow-cover days over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River （MLRYR） in the winter of 1670 were extracted from Chinese historical documents. By these records, the winter temperature anomalies （compared to the mean of 1961-1990） recorded at seven meteorological stations and the regional mean winter temperature were estimated. The results show that： （1） There was an average of about 30 snow-cover days over the MLRYR region in 1670, ranging from 11-20 days in Shanghai and eastern Zhejiang to 5140 days in eastern Hunan Province. The snow-cover days averaged about 40 days in Anqing and Nan- cheng, and ranged from 30 to 40 days in Quzhou, Jingdezhen, and Nanchang; and （2） the regional mean winter temperature in 1670 was estimated to be approximately 4.0 ℃ lower than that of 1961-1990. The maximum negative anomaly of 5.6℃ occurred in Nanchang and the minimum anomaly of-2.8 ℃ was detected in Quzhou. Both of these were lower than that of the coldest winter during the instrumental observation period of 1951-2010. This research could not only provide a method to es- timate historical climate extremes, but also provide a background to understand the recent instrumentally climate extremes.  相似文献   

中国南海极端风暴海况下固定式平台结构可靠性分析     

李萍  李林斌 《海洋工程》2014,32(3):14-21

基于中国南海海域风暴环境条件,研究分析南海海域固定式导管架平台结构整体性和可靠性,以及新建固定式平台结构设计准则。采用海洋环境数据后报方法,得到南海海域1972~2011共40年的风、浪、流联合数据,从中抽取风暴环境条件;利用通用荷载模型,将40年间的风暴环境数据转变成结构的荷载数据,即基底剪力或倾覆力矩;并计算得到风暴环境荷载的短期及长期分布,以及任意风暴下荷载的概率分布;根据结构可靠性模型,结合荷载的长期分布,研究基于结构暴露等级及失效概率的固定式平台结构强度储备比。根据计算,得到了不同暴露等级下中国南海平台的强度储备比,并与墨西哥湾及北海海域进行了比较,为新建平台提供设计参考。  相似文献   

深海极端环境模拟装置设计   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

董贤信  蒋凯  陈杭  叶树明 《热带海洋学报》2014,33(2):101-108

为了满足深海极端环境科学研究的需求,设计了深海极端环境模拟装置。对系统结构以及工作原理进行分析,介绍了培养釜、温度控制子系统和压力控制子系统。重点针对当前模拟装置压力控制精度不高的问题,设计了高精度压力传感器,并提出一种迭代自学习PID压力控制算法,实现系统压力自动检测和连续控制,同时带有观察窗的培养釜结构可以实现微生物状况实时观测。实验结果表明,该系统能够实现深海极端环境参量高精度模拟,可以为深海极端环境科学研究提供很好的平台。  相似文献